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Tempe Housing Market Update: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know in 2026

Tempe Housing Market Update: What Buyers and Sellers Need to Know in 2026

September 21, 202614 min read

If you have been watching the Tempe housing market, you have probably noticed that things feel different than they did a few years ago.

Homes are still selling. Buyers are still moving into Tempe. Sellers can still get good money for the right property. But the market has become much more about the individual home, the neighborhood, the price, and the condition of the property than simply putting a house on the market and waiting for an offer.

That matters because Tempe is not a market where one number tells the whole story.

As of August 2026, Zillow puts the typical Tempe home value at about $461,342, with values down 0.6% over the previous year. Zillow also reports about 571 homes for sale and a median of 32 days for homes to go pending. Realtor.com shows a higher median listing price of about $479,950, a median sold price of $478,250, 592 active listings, and a median of 53 days on market. The difference between these numbers comes from the way each service measures homes and market activity, but together they show a market with more breathing room than the extremely competitive markets buyers experienced in the past.

So what does that actually mean if you are buying or selling in Tempe right now?

That is where things get more interesting.


Tempe Buyers Have More Room to Think

One of the biggest changes buyers are seeing is that they do not necessarily have to make every decision within a few hours of seeing a house.

That can be a big deal.

Realtor.com reported 592 active listings in Tempe in August 2026, which was up 7.37% from the prior year. Its data also showed that the median listing price was down 5.94% year over year. At the same time, the median sold price was $478,250, up 6.28% year over year. Those numbers might look confusing at first, but they are a good reminder that asking prices and actual sale prices are measuring different things.

A seller may list a home at one price, but that does not mean the home will actually sell there.

Buyers are paying attention to that difference.

They are looking at recent comparable sales, the home's condition, the neighborhood, monthly payment, property taxes, insurance, HOA costs, and how long the home has been sitting. A house that looks reasonably priced at first glance can feel very different once you add everything up.

That is why buyers should be careful about using a citywide median as their personal price guide. Tempe has a wide range of homes and neighborhoods, and the numbers can change quite a bit depending on where you are looking.

For example, Realtor.com showed median listing prices ranging from about $320,000 in Sunset to more than $679,000 in Corona-South Tempe in its neighborhood-level data. The Lakes was around $625,000, while Alameda was around $449,700.

That is a pretty wide spread for one city.

If you are buying, the question is not simply, "What is the Tempe housing market doing?"

It is, "What is happening with the type of home and neighborhood I actually want?"


Prices Are Not Moving the Same Way Everywhere

This is one of the most important things to understand about Tempe right now.

You can hear someone say home values are down, while another person tells you prices are holding up, and both statements can appear to be true depending on what they are measuring.

Zillow's Tempe Home Value Index was $461,342 in August 2026, down 0.6% from the previous year. The same data showed a median sale price of $461,167 for July and a median list price of $483,300 in August. Homes were selling at a median sale-to-list ratio of 0.983, meaning the typical sale was occurring below the original asking price. Zillow also reported that 67% of sales were below list price in July.

That last number is worth paying attention to.

It does not mean every seller is cutting their price dramatically. It means buyers have opportunities to negotiate, especially when a property has been sitting on the market or was priced aggressively from the beginning.

For sellers, this creates a different kind of challenge.

You cannot simply look at what your neighbor's house sold for last year and add another $50,000 because the market has gone up over time. Buyers have more information now, and they have more choices. If your home is priced too high compared with the competition, buyers may simply move on.

That is especially true when the house needs work.

A dated kitchen, older flooring, worn landscaping, an aging roof, or deferred maintenance can make a big difference when buyers are comparing several homes that are close in price.

The market is giving buyers choices, and that puts more pressure on sellers to get the basics right.


What This Means for Tempe Sellers

Selling in the current Tempe market is not about being pessimistic. It is about being realistic before the home hits the market.

Pricing matters.

Condition matters.

Photos matter.

And the first few weeks matter more than many sellers realize.

If a home launches at a price that feels disconnected from comparable properties, the seller may spend the next several weeks waiting for the right buyer while competing homes get the attention. Once a listing starts accumulating days on market, buyers can begin wondering what is wrong with it, even when there is nothing seriously wrong with the property.

That is why preparation can make a difference.

You do not necessarily need to completely remodel a house before selling. In many cases, that would not make financial sense. But you do want buyers to walk through the home and feel that it has been cared for.

Simple things can help.

Fresh paint can make rooms feel cleaner. Better lighting can make a home feel more inviting. Removing excess furniture can make rooms appear larger. Cleaning up the yard can improve the first impression before the buyer even gets through the front door.

The goal is not to create a fake version of the house.

It is to make it easier for buyers to see the home clearly.

And if you are selling because your current home has become too large, too expensive, or simply doesn’t fit the way your family lives anymore, it’s worth taking a closer look at what staying put is actually costing you. Homeowners often focus on the expenses that come with selling and moving, while overlooking the ongoing costs of maintaining a home that no longer works for their needs.


Buyers Should Look Beyond the Asking Price

A lower asking price does not automatically mean a lower-cost home.

This is especially true in Tempe, where buyers can find everything from condos and townhomes to older single-family homes and larger properties in more established South Tempe neighborhoods.

The purchase price is only one part of the monthly payment.

You also need to think about property taxes, homeowners insurance, HOA fees, maintenance, utilities, and the condition of major systems such as the roof, HVAC, plumbing, and electrical components.

For condos and townhomes, HOA fees deserve extra attention because they can change the monthly cost considerably. A property that looks affordable based on the purchase price can have a very different monthly payment once the HOA is included.

That is one reason buyers who are downsizing should think carefully about the type of property they want rather than assuming smaller automatically means cheaper.

If you’re downsizing, it’s worth taking some time to compare the costs, maintenance, space, and lifestyle that come with a condo versus a townhouse before you start making offers. The right choice can depend on how much space you need, how much upkeep you want to handle, and what you want your monthly expenses to look like.

The same idea applies to single-family homes.

An older home with a great location can be a fantastic opportunity, but you need to understand what you are buying. The house may have good bones and still need a new roof, HVAC replacement, updated windows, or other work over time.

Those expenses do not necessarily make the house a bad purchase.

They just need to be part of the conversation before you decide what you are comfortable paying.


Tempe Is Still a Lifestyle Market

There is another reason Tempe continues to attract buyers even when the market slows down.

People are not moving here just because of a house.

They are buying into a location.

Tempe offers a mix that is difficult to duplicate in some of the newer suburban communities around the Valley. You have access to major employment centers, Arizona State University, restaurants, shopping, parks, outdoor spaces, and major roadways, while different parts of the city offer very different neighborhood experiences.

That variety is part of what makes Tempe interesting.

Downtown Tempe and areas closer to ASU can feel much more urban and active. South Tempe has neighborhoods with larger homes, mature landscaping, and a more suburban feel. Other areas offer condos and townhomes that appeal to buyers who want less maintenance.

Your daily routine matters here.

If you like walking to restaurants, going out for coffee, attending events, or being close to the activity around downtown, your priorities may look very different from someone who wants a quiet street and a larger backyard.

Outdoor access is another part of the decision. If you enjoy spending your weekends at parks, walking trails, or simply getting outside, it makes sense to look at what’s close to the home instead of focusing only on the property itself. Tempe’s parks, trails, and outdoor spaces can be a big part of what makes a neighborhood feel like the right fit.

Because honestly, the house is only one part of what you are buying.

You are also buying your Saturday morning.

Your commute.

Your evening walk.

Your favorite coffee shop.

The drive to work.

The amount of time you spend in the car.

Those details become part of whether you actually enjoy living there.


What About Interest Rates?

Interest rates are still a major part of the housing conversation because they affect what buyers can afford each month.

A buyer may be comfortable with a $500,000 purchase price in theory, but the monthly payment at today's financing costs can tell a very different story.

That is why I would be careful about waiting for a perfect interest rate before making a decision.

Rates can move. Home prices can move. Inventory can change. Your personal situation can change, too.

A better starting point is to figure out what monthly payment actually fits your budget and then look at what that payment can buy in the areas you want.

If rates improve later, refinancing may become an option depending on the circumstances. But you should not buy a home based on the assumption that refinancing will definitely happen.

Buy the house because the payment works for you now and the home fits your needs.

That gives you a much stronger starting point.


Tempe Buyers Are Negotiating More Than Before

The current numbers suggest that buyers have some negotiating room.

Zillow reported that the median sale-to-list ratio was 98.3% in July, while 67% of sales closed below the asking price. Realtor.com reported an average sale-to-list ratio of about 98% for August and described Tempe as a balanced market.

That does not mean every seller will accept a low offer.

It means the conversation is more open than it would be in a market where buyers are competing aggressively for very limited inventory.

The strongest negotiating opportunities are usually tied to the actual property.

Maybe the home has been sitting for several weeks.

Maybe it needs significant repairs.

Maybe the seller has already made a price reduction.

Maybe comparable homes have recently sold for less.

Maybe there are several similar properties available nearby.

Those details are much more useful than simply deciding to offer a certain percentage below asking price because you heard buyers have negotiating power.

A good offer should have a reason behind it.


What Sellers Should Watch Going Into Fall

Tempe sellers should pay attention to what buyers are doing, not just what other sellers are asking.

If similar homes are sitting while well-priced properties are getting offers, that is useful information.

If buyers consistently mention the same objection during showings, that is useful information too.

Sometimes the problem is price.

Sometimes the home needs better presentation.

Sometimes the property simply has a smaller buyer pool because of its layout, location, HOA restrictions, or condition.

The answer is not always another price reduction.

That is why reviewing the competition and feedback early can save a seller from spending months guessing.

A home that is priced correctly from the beginning has a better chance of getting attention when it first comes on the market, when buyers and agents are actively watching new listings.


What Buyers Should Watch Going Into Fall

For buyers, fall can be a good time to pay attention to homes that have been sitting on the market.

A property that has been listed for a while is not automatically a bad property.

Sometimes the seller simply started too high.

Sometimes the home is fine but has not been presented well.

Sometimes the right buyer has not come along yet.

That can create an opportunity to look more closely instead of immediately crossing the property off your list.

Just make sure you understand why the home has been sitting.

Look at the inspection history if available. Review comparable sales. Pay attention to price changes. Look at the condition of the roof and HVAC. Check the HOA documents when applicable. Think about resale, too.

You are not just trying to get a house for less money.

You are trying to make sure the house still makes sense after you own it.


Is Tempe Still a Good Place to Buy?

That depends on what you want from the move, but the current market gives buyers something that was harder to find during the most competitive periods: time to think.

Tempe remains a diverse housing market with a wide range of prices, property types, and neighborhood styles. The latest data shows that prices are not moving uniformly across the city, inventory is higher than it was a few years ago, and many homes are selling below their original asking price.

That creates opportunities, but it also means buyers need to do their homework.

If you are considering Tempe because you are relocating, downsizing, moving closer to work, or simply looking for a different lifestyle, take some time to figure out what you actually want from the area.

If you’re still deciding whether Tempe is the right place for you, it’s worth looking at the bigger picture before you start comparing individual homes. Think about the lifestyle, commute, neighborhoods, cost of living, and day-to-day experience you want, then see how Tempe lines up with those priorities.

The right question is not just whether home prices are going up or down.

It is whether the home you are considering makes sense for your budget, your lifestyle, your plans, and the amount of work you are willing to take on.


Final Thoughts

The Tempe housing market in 2026 is giving buyers and sellers a different set of challenges than the market we saw during the huge run-up in prices.

Buyers have more choices and, in many cases, more negotiating room.

Sellers can still get strong prices, but they need to pay attention to the competition and price their homes based on what buyers are actually seeing in the market today.

The numbers tell us that Tempe is not one single market. Zillow's August data showed a typical home value of about $461,342, while Realtor.com reported a median listing price of $479,950 and a median sold price of $478,250. Active inventory was around 571 to 592 homes depending on the source and measurement.

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Nancy Wittenberg

Nancy Wittenberg is a trusted REALTOR® serving Chandler, Gilbert, and the East Valley of Arizona. She helps buyers and sellers navigate the local housing market with clear guidance, honest advice, and strong advocacy. Her signature Buyer Care Plan™ walks clients step by step from the first consultation through closing and beyond, helping buyers feel confident and informed at every stage. For homeowners preparing to sell, Nancy acts as a Strategic Market Guide, helping sellers manage pricing strategy, buyer psychology, and negotiations that determine how a home sale actually unfolds. Nancy holds designations including GRI, ABR®, and SRS, reflecting her commitment to professional excellence and client advocacy in the East Valley real estate market. If you're thinking about buying or selling a home in Chandler, Gilbert, or the East Valley, reach out to Nancy for a conversation, not a pitch.

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